How Many People Have Found the Pirate Token?

What Epic has said

Epic introduced Pirate Shop Access as the rarest Treasure Hunt prize but hasn't shared a drop rate, a count of finds or the number of chests opened. Without those, every "X people have it" figure you see online is either an estimate or a guess. If Epic publishes a number, we'll put it at the top of this page.

Reported finds so far

These are finds reported by gaming outlets or shared by players. We can't verify individual claims, and fakes exist, so read them as reports:

1. Nov 1, 2026First confirmed findPlayer Snowslept reported finding Pirate Shop Access on his 37th chest, about 38 minutes after the mini-season launched, as covered by Beebom.
2. Nov 2–3More early findsThreads like "Found Pirate Shop in first game of new season" and "We found the Pirate Shop Access in just 2 games" draw hundreds of comments on Reddit.
3. Nov 3Finds at low chest countsBeebom lists other players reporting finds on their 125th, 184th and 356th chest — while others report nothing after 1,000+.
4. Nov 5–7"Has anyone actually got it?"Threads asking how many people have legitimately found it, and claims that nobody has, become some of the busiest posts of the week.

Notice the pattern: early finds after only a few dozen chests, long droughts for players with thousands. That's exactly what a random drop looks like. With millions of players, a few will hit it almost immediately, and most will never see it.

How many finds should there be? The math

The number of finds per day is simply chests opened per day × chance per chest. The trouble is that both parts are unknown. Here's what different assumptions give Calculated:

Each find goes to the whole party, so the number of players with the token is higher than the number of finds — up to four times higher if every find happened in a full squad.

One widely shared Reddit analysis estimated about 1,600 finds a day and around 50,000 over the season at 1 in 700,000. Another estimated that only about 70 of 100,000 dedicated grinders would get it. Both depend entirely on how many chests they assumed people open — which is the part nobody outside Epic knows.

Why the 1 in 2,000 estimate doesn't fit what players see

A dataminer model reported by VICE puts the chance at about 1 in 2,000 per chest Disputed. The table above shows the problem: at that rate, even 10 million chests a day would mean thousands of new finds every day, and a solo player who has opened 2,000 chests would be more likely than not to have one. Reddit is full of players well past that with nothing, and finds still make headlines. So for most players the real rate looks far rarer than 1 in 2,000 — though only Epic could settle it. More on both estimates on the odds page.

Is the Pirate Token real?

Yes. Pirate Shop Access is a real Treasure Hunt prize: it shows a full-screen message when a chest rolls it, appears in the Item Shop as a "Plunder the Shop" banner, and has been shown by players and covered by multiple outlets Reported.

Some posts claim nobody has really got it and that the finds are staged to boost player numbers. There's no evidence for that, and the "nobody I know has it" feeling has a simple explanation: if only a small fraction of players ever find it, almost nobody's friend list will include one. The same logic explains why finds seem to go to casual players — most players are casual, so most finds will be too. We cover this in more detail under is the Pirate Shop Token rigged?

Why it feels like nobody has it

• It's genuinely rare. Even generous scenarios leave the vast majority of players without one at the end of the season.
• Finds are spread out. A few hundred finds a day across millions of players is invisible unless someone posts about it.
• Many finders don't post. Plenty of players claim it quietly, so public reports undercount real finds.
• Fakes make people skeptical. Edited screenshots and "account with pirate token for sale" listings make real finds easier to doubt.

How to tell a real find from a fake

A real find shows the Pirate Shop Access message in the match and a Plunder the Shop banner in the Item Shop afterwards — for everyone in the party. Be skeptical of a single cropped screenshot with no lobby or shop view. And ignore anyone offering to sell an account "with the token", share a "free token code" or "check" your account for one: the token can't be bought or transferred, and those offers are scams aimed at your Epic login.

Want to know where you stand?

Check how many chests you've opened (here's where to find your count), then put the number into the luck checker to see how normal your drought is, or keep counting with the Pirate Token Tracker.